Current numerical weather models from regional meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 8 amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and minimal daytime cloud cover or rainfall that would otherwise moderate surface heating. Ensemble forecasts and recent station data showing daily maxima of 33–36°C support the market’s strong weighting toward 38°C (58.5%) over 37°C or 39°C, consistent with typical August climatology where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow push extremes into the upper 30s. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 8?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 8?
38°C 57%
37°C 25%
39°C 13%
36°C 3%
НОВЕ
$16,071 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,071 Обс.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
25%
38°C
57%
39°C
13%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 57%
37°C 25%
39°C 13%
36°C 3%
НОВЕ
$16,071 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,071 Обс.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$487 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$747 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$777 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$798 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$707 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$1,194 Обс.
3%
37°C
$1,654 Обс.
25%
38°C
$4,334 Обс.
57%
39°C
$1,749 Обс.
13%
40°C
$1,206 Обс.
2%
41°C or higher
$2,417 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from regional meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 8 amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and minimal daytime cloud cover or rainfall that would otherwise moderate surface heating. Ensemble forecasts and recent station data showing daily maxima of 33–36°C support the market’s strong weighting toward 38°C (58.5%) over 37°C or 39°C, consistent with typical August climatology where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow push extremes into the upper 30s. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,071Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from regional meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 8 amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and minimal daytime cloud cover or rainfall that would otherwise moderate surface heating. Ensemble forecasts and recent station data showing daily maxima of 33–36°C support the market’s strong weighting toward 38°C (58.5%) over 37°C or 39°C, consistent with typical August climatology where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow push extremes into the upper 30s. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,071Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from regional meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 8 amid persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and minimal daytime cloud cover or rainfall that would otherwise moderate surface heating. Ensemble forecasts and recent station data showing daily maxima of 33–36°C support the market’s strong weighting toward 38°C (58.5%) over 37°C or 39°C, consistent with typical August climatology where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow push extremes into the upper 30s. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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