Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance point to a mild overnight period for London on August 8 under building high pressure, with light winds and mostly clear skies favoring radiative cooling but limited by a warm air mass advected from the south. This setup sustains tight clustering around 15–16°C as the most probable minimum, with 14°C remaining viable if cooling exceeds current model consensus or localized urban effects are weaker than expected. Traders weigh historical August nocturnal averages near 13–14°C against the ongoing above-normal warmth, while watching the next model runs and any revisions to cloud or wind forecasts that could shift the balance among these closely matched outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 8?
Lowest temperature in London on August 8?
15°C 41%
16°C 38%
14°C 14%
13°C 3.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
25%
15°C
40%
16°C
38%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 41%
16°C 38%
14°C 14%
13°C 3.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
10°C or below
$262 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$262 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$294 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$257 Обс.
4%
14°C
$546 Обс.
25%
15°C
$3,076 Обс.
40%
16°C
$1,086 Обс.
38%
17°C
$589 Обс.
2%
18°C
$418 Обс.
1%
19°C
$327 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$255 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance point to a mild overnight period for London on August 8 under building high pressure, with light winds and mostly clear skies favoring radiative cooling but limited by a warm air mass advected from the south. This setup sustains tight clustering around 15–16°C as the most probable minimum, with 14°C remaining viable if cooling exceeds current model consensus or localized urban effects are weaker than expected. Traders weigh historical August nocturnal averages near 13–14°C against the ongoing above-normal warmth, while watching the next model runs and any revisions to cloud or wind forecasts that could shift the balance among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,372Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance point to a mild overnight period for London on August 8 under building high pressure, with light winds and mostly clear skies favoring radiative cooling but limited by a warm air mass advected from the south. This setup sustains tight clustering around 15–16°C as the most probable minimum, with 14°C remaining viable if cooling exceeds current model consensus or localized urban effects are weaker than expected. Traders weigh historical August nocturnal averages near 13–14°C against the ongoing above-normal warmth, while watching the next model runs and any revisions to cloud or wind forecasts that could shift the balance among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,372Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance point to a mild overnight period for London on August 8 under building high pressure, with light winds and mostly clear skies favoring radiative cooling but limited by a warm air mass advected from the south. This setup sustains tight clustering around 15–16°C as the most probable minimum, with 14°C remaining viable if cooling exceeds current model consensus or localized urban effects are weaker than expected. Traders weigh historical August nocturnal averages near 13–14°C against the ongoing above-normal warmth, while watching the next model runs and any revisions to cloud or wind forecasts that could shift the balance among these closely matched outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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