Recent forecast guidance and climatological baselines position 32–33°C as the dominant outcomes for Karachi’s August 12 maximum. Long-term August averages hover near 31–32°C, while AccuWeather’s extended outlook and Pakistan Meteorological Department monthly guidance indicate a narrow 31–33.3°C envelope amid above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall. Reduced monsoon cloud cover and convective cooling under these drier conditions support peaks in this band without signals of a heatwave or strong synoptic shifts that would elevate readings above 34°C. Historical records confirm extremes rarely exceed this range during comparable late-monsoon setups. Updated PMD daily guidance and ensemble runs expected within the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 12?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 12?
33°C 49%
32°C 33%
34°C 13%
36°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
33%
33°C
49%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 49%
32°C 33%
34°C 13%
36°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$10 Обс.
1%
30°C
$20 Обс.
5%
31°C
$20 Обс.
7%
32°C
$69 Обс.
33%
33°C
$58 Обс.
49%
34°C
$27 Обс.
13%
35°C
$15 Обс.
3%
36°C
$12 Обс.
7%
37°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and climatological baselines position 32–33°C as the dominant outcomes for Karachi’s August 12 maximum. Long-term August averages hover near 31–32°C, while AccuWeather’s extended outlook and Pakistan Meteorological Department monthly guidance indicate a narrow 31–33.3°C envelope amid above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall. Reduced monsoon cloud cover and convective cooling under these drier conditions support peaks in this band without signals of a heatwave or strong synoptic shifts that would elevate readings above 34°C. Historical records confirm extremes rarely exceed this range during comparable late-monsoon setups. Updated PMD daily guidance and ensemble runs expected within the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$261Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and climatological baselines position 32–33°C as the dominant outcomes for Karachi’s August 12 maximum. Long-term August averages hover near 31–32°C, while AccuWeather’s extended outlook and Pakistan Meteorological Department monthly guidance indicate a narrow 31–33.3°C envelope amid above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall. Reduced monsoon cloud cover and convective cooling under these drier conditions support peaks in this band without signals of a heatwave or strong synoptic shifts that would elevate readings above 34°C. Historical records confirm extremes rarely exceed this range during comparable late-monsoon setups. Updated PMD daily guidance and ensemble runs expected within the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$261Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance and climatological baselines position 32–33°C as the dominant outcomes for Karachi’s August 12 maximum. Long-term August averages hover near 31–32°C, while AccuWeather’s extended outlook and Pakistan Meteorological Department monthly guidance indicate a narrow 31–33.3°C envelope amid above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall. Reduced monsoon cloud cover and convective cooling under these drier conditions support peaks in this band without signals of a heatwave or strong synoptic shifts that would elevate readings above 34°C. Historical records confirm extremes rarely exceed this range during comparable late-monsoon setups. Updated PMD daily guidance and ensemble runs expected within the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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