Recent forecasts from regional models highlight variable thunderstorm activity and cloud cover as the dominant factor narrowing Shenzhen's August 12 maximum temperature outlook toward the 34–35 °C range, where market-implied odds currently cluster near 65 percent. High humidity and monsoon moisture favor convective development that caps daytime heating, while any breaks in coverage could allow brief spikes toward 36 °C; historical August baselines average 32 °C highs with frequent 30-plus readings under similar conditions. Traders are weighing the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip resolution between adjacent brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 12?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
33°C 18%
36°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
6%
33°C
18%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
33°C 18%
36°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$12 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$12 Обс.
1%
31°C
$5 Обс.
7%
32°C
$0 Обс.
6%
33°C
$3 Обс.
18%
34°C
$18 Обс.
30%
35°C
$354 Обс.
35%
36°C
$2 Обс.
9%
37°C
$107 Обс.
3%
38°C or higher
$213 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models highlight variable thunderstorm activity and cloud cover as the dominant factor narrowing Shenzhen's August 12 maximum temperature outlook toward the 34–35 °C range, where market-implied odds currently cluster near 65 percent. High humidity and monsoon moisture favor convective development that caps daytime heating, while any breaks in coverage could allow brief spikes toward 36 °C; historical August baselines average 32 °C highs with frequent 30-plus readings under similar conditions. Traders are weighing the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip resolution between adjacent brackets.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$737Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models highlight variable thunderstorm activity and cloud cover as the dominant factor narrowing Shenzhen's August 12 maximum temperature outlook toward the 34–35 °C range, where market-implied odds currently cluster near 65 percent. High humidity and monsoon moisture favor convective development that caps daytime heating, while any breaks in coverage could allow brief spikes toward 36 °C; historical August baselines average 32 °C highs with frequent 30-plus readings under similar conditions. Traders are weighing the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip resolution between adjacent brackets.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$737Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models highlight variable thunderstorm activity and cloud cover as the dominant factor narrowing Shenzhen's August 12 maximum temperature outlook toward the 34–35 °C range, where market-implied odds currently cluster near 65 percent. High humidity and monsoon moisture favor convective development that caps daytime heating, while any breaks in coverage could allow brief spikes toward 36 °C; historical August baselines average 32 °C highs with frequent 30-plus readings under similar conditions. Traders are weighing the latest ensemble guidance ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could tip resolution between adjacent brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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