The southwest monsoon, enhanced by distant tropical systems, continues to drive cloudy skies and frequent showers over Metro Manila, suppressing peak daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. PAGASA forecasts for August 12 indicate highs near 30°C with 60–90% rain probability, aligning closely with the August climatological average of 31°C and recent observed maxima of 28–29°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because modest shifts in monsoon intensity, cloud thickness, or localized convection can easily alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the low probability of 32°C+ reflects limited warming potential under persistent moisture and overcast conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 12?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 12?
30°C 45%
29°C 28%
31°C 27%
32°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C
28%
30°C
28%
31°C
27%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
29°C 28%
31°C 27%
32°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$12 Обс.
1%
26°C
$12 Обс.
1%
27°C
$11 Обс.
6%
28°C
$4 Обс.
6%
29°C
$1 Обс.
28%
30°C
$0 Обс.
28%
31°C
$29 Обс.
27%
32°C
$189 Обс.
8%
33°C
$204 Обс.
3%
34°C or higher
$50 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, enhanced by distant tropical systems, continues to drive cloudy skies and frequent showers over Metro Manila, suppressing peak daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. PAGASA forecasts for August 12 indicate highs near 30°C with 60–90% rain probability, aligning closely with the August climatological average of 31°C and recent observed maxima of 28–29°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because modest shifts in monsoon intensity, cloud thickness, or localized convection can easily alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the low probability of 32°C+ reflects limited warming potential under persistent moisture and overcast conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$524Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, enhanced by distant tropical systems, continues to drive cloudy skies and frequent showers over Metro Manila, suppressing peak daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. PAGASA forecasts for August 12 indicate highs near 30°C with 60–90% rain probability, aligning closely with the August climatological average of 31°C and recent observed maxima of 28–29°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because modest shifts in monsoon intensity, cloud thickness, or localized convection can easily alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the low probability of 32°C+ reflects limited warming potential under persistent moisture and overcast conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$524Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, enhanced by distant tropical systems, continues to drive cloudy skies and frequent showers over Metro Manila, suppressing peak daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. PAGASA forecasts for August 12 indicate highs near 30°C with 60–90% rain probability, aligning closely with the August climatological average of 31°C and recent observed maxima of 28–29°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–31°C because modest shifts in monsoon intensity, cloud thickness, or localized convection can easily alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the low probability of 32°C+ reflects limited warming potential under persistent moisture and overcast conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання