Persistent European heat wave conditions have elevated overnight lows across northern France, with ensemble model guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF indicating Paris minimum temperatures on August 12 most likely between 16–19 °C amid stable high pressure. The partial solar eclipse that day offers limited nocturnal impact, while subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-arriving Atlantic trough introduce spread in forecast outputs. Historical August climatology centers near 15 °C, but current anomalies support the market’s tight clustering around 17–19 °C outcomes. Traders monitor the next high-resolution model runs for refinements in dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 12?
17°C 37%
18°C 36%
19°C 25%
16°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
14°C or below
5%
15°C
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
37%
18°C
36%
19°C
25%
20°C
10%
21°C
6%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 37%
18°C 36%
19°C 25%
16°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
14°C or below
$12 Обс.
5%
15°C
$1 Обс.
6%
16°C
$1 Обс.
10%
17°C
$2 Обс.
37%
18°C
$0 Обс.
36%
19°C
$2 Обс.
25%
20°C
$0 Обс.
10%
21°C
$10 Обс.
6%
22°C
$12 Обс.
7%
23°C
$12 Обс.
2%
24°C or higher
$12 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent European heat wave conditions have elevated overnight lows across northern France, with ensemble model guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF indicating Paris minimum temperatures on August 12 most likely between 16–19 °C amid stable high pressure. The partial solar eclipse that day offers limited nocturnal impact, while subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-arriving Atlantic trough introduce spread in forecast outputs. Historical August climatology centers near 15 °C, but current anomalies support the market’s tight clustering around 17–19 °C outcomes. Traders monitor the next high-resolution model runs for refinements in dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent European heat wave conditions have elevated overnight lows across northern France, with ensemble model guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF indicating Paris minimum temperatures on August 12 most likely between 16–19 °C amid stable high pressure. The partial solar eclipse that day offers limited nocturnal impact, while subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-arriving Atlantic trough introduce spread in forecast outputs. Historical August climatology centers near 15 °C, but current anomalies support the market’s tight clustering around 17–19 °C outcomes. Traders monitor the next high-resolution model runs for refinements in dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent European heat wave conditions have elevated overnight lows across northern France, with ensemble model guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF indicating Paris minimum temperatures on August 12 most likely between 16–19 °C amid stable high pressure. The partial solar eclipse that day offers limited nocturnal impact, while subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-arriving Atlantic trough introduce spread in forecast outputs. Historical August climatology centers near 15 °C, but current anomalies support the market’s tight clustering around 17–19 °C outcomes. Traders monitor the next high-resolution model runs for refinements in dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання