Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Seoul/Incheon on August 12, driving the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C as leading outcomes. Clear skies, low wind speeds, and moderate dew points favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or residual moisture from upstream patterns would limit the drop. Historical August nocturnal minima in the region average near 22°C, providing context for why traders see only modest probability outside 20–23°C. Updated KMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely resolve much of the spread by refining boundary-layer conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 12?
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
20°C 11%
23°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
20°C 11%
23°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
$34 Обс.
1%
17°C
$34 Обс.
1%
18°C
$34 Обс.
3%
19°C
$8 Обс.
6%
20°C
$0 Обс.
11%
21°C
$0 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
27%
23°C
$0 Обс.
11%
24°C
$0 Обс.
7%
25°C
$0 Обс.
5%
26°C or higher
$12 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Seoul/Incheon on August 12, driving the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C as leading outcomes. Clear skies, low wind speeds, and moderate dew points favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or residual moisture from upstream patterns would limit the drop. Historical August nocturnal minima in the region average near 22°C, providing context for why traders see only modest probability outside 20–23°C. Updated KMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely resolve much of the spread by refining boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$122Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Seoul/Incheon on August 12, driving the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C as leading outcomes. Clear skies, low wind speeds, and moderate dew points favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or residual moisture from upstream patterns would limit the drop. Historical August nocturnal minima in the region average near 22°C, providing context for why traders see only modest probability outside 20–23°C. Updated KMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely resolve much of the spread by refining boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$122Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Seoul/Incheon on August 12, driving the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C as leading outcomes. Clear skies, low wind speeds, and moderate dew points favor stronger surface cooling toward the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or residual moisture from upstream patterns would limit the drop. Historical August nocturnal minima in the region average near 22°C, providing context for why traders see only modest probability outside 20–23°C. Updated KMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely resolve much of the spread by refining boundary-layer conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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