Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 12 likely reaching the mid-to-upper 30s°C, driven by typical late-summer heating in the humid Sichuan Basin where high pressure and southerly flow sustain warmth. Key differentiators among closely matched outcomes (37–38°C favored) include variable afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorm potential, and subtle differences in model resolution of boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines average near 32–34°C, with recent years showing more frequent 35°C+ days amid regional warming trends. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and convective timing ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
37°C 32%
38°C 28%
36°C 22%
39°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
7%
35°C
9%
36°C
22%
37°C
32%
38°C
28%
39°C
12%
40°C
6%
41°C
5%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 32%
38°C 28%
36°C 22%
39°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
$12 Обс.
1%
33°C
$12 Обс.
4%
34°C
$35 Обс.
7%
35°C
$33 Обс.
9%
36°C
$30 Обс.
22%
37°C
$62 Обс.
32%
38°C
$30 Обс.
28%
39°C
$38 Обс.
12%
40°C
$74 Обс.
6%
41°C
$12 Обс.
5%
42°C or higher
$30 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 12 likely reaching the mid-to-upper 30s°C, driven by typical late-summer heating in the humid Sichuan Basin where high pressure and southerly flow sustain warmth. Key differentiators among closely matched outcomes (37–38°C favored) include variable afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorm potential, and subtle differences in model resolution of boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines average near 32–34°C, with recent years showing more frequent 35°C+ days amid regional warming trends. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and convective timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$368Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 12 likely reaching the mid-to-upper 30s°C, driven by typical late-summer heating in the humid Sichuan Basin where high pressure and southerly flow sustain warmth. Key differentiators among closely matched outcomes (37–38°C favored) include variable afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorm potential, and subtle differences in model resolution of boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines average near 32–34°C, with recent years showing more frequent 35°C+ days amid regional warming trends. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and convective timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$368Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to peak temperatures in Chengdu on August 12 likely reaching the mid-to-upper 30s°C, driven by typical late-summer heating in the humid Sichuan Basin where high pressure and southerly flow sustain warmth. Key differentiators among closely matched outcomes (37–38°C favored) include variable afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorm potential, and subtle differences in model resolution of boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines average near 32–34°C, with recent years showing more frequent 35°C+ days amid regional warming trends. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and convective timing ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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