Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Qingdao on August 12 under light rain and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the tight market spread between those outcomes. Coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea limits daytime heating compared to inland Shandong sites, while variable cloud cover and any sea-breeze strengthening can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Subtropical high positioning and short-term precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty distinguishing 30°C from 32°C scenarios; updated CMA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether reduced insolation or clearer intervals shift the expected maximum. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context for this coastal location.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 12?
31°C 34%
30°C 29%
29°C 14%
33°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
29%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 29%
29°C 14%
33°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
29%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Qingdao on August 12 under light rain and moderate easterly flow, aligning with the tight market spread between those outcomes. Coastal marine moderation from the Yellow Sea limits daytime heating compared to inland Shandong sites, while variable cloud cover and any sea-breeze strengthening can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Subtropical high positioning and short-term precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty distinguishing 30°C from 32°C scenarios; updated CMA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether reduced insolation or clearer intervals shift the expected maximum. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context for this coastal location.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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