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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?

Ended: Aug 12

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Ended: Aug 12

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

30°C 100.0%

24°C or below <1%

25°C <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$79,847 Обс.

30°C 100.0%

24°C or below <1%

25°C <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$79,847 Обс.

24°C or below

$1,720 Обс.

No

25°C

$4,079 Обс.

No

26°C

$6,916 Обс.

No

27°C

$10,470 Обс.

No

28°C

$13,461 Обс.

No

29°C

$17,593 Обс.

No

30°C

$17,509 Обс.

Yes

31°C

$6,153 Обс.

No

32°C

$652 Обс.

No

33°C

$612 Обс.

No

34°C or higher

$682 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official meteorological records for August 12 confirm a daily minimum temperature of 30°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds typical of midsummer. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August nighttime lows commonly range 27–30°C absent tropical disturbances or enhanced monsoon flow. The overwhelming market consensus at 30°C reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory rather than forecasts, with minimal dispersion across alternative thresholds. Resolution would shift only under documented data revisions, alternate station criteria, or measurement anomalies, scenarios that remain improbable given standard reporting protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$79,847
Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official meteorological records for August 12 confirm a daily minimum temperature of 30°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds typical of midsummer. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August nighttime lows commonly range 27–30°C absent tropical disturbances or enhanced monsoon flow. The overwhelming market consensus at 30°C reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory rather than forecasts, with minimal dispersion across alternative thresholds. Resolution would shift only under documented data revisions, alternate station criteria, or measurement anomalies, scenarios that remain improbable given standard reporting protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$79,847
Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 20?

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 21?

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «30°C» з 100%, далі «24°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?» згенерував $79.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 10, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?» — «30°C» з 100%. Наступний — «24°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.