Official forecasts from AEMET place Madrid’s maximum near 36°C on August 19 under continued high pressure and clear skies, with Met Office guidance at 35°C. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect modest uncertainty in peak values due to small variations in boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns, and the urban heat-island effect. Recent observations show maxima of 37–38°C, supporting elevated but not extreme probabilities across the 34–40°C range. Traders weigh the narrow forecast window and potential for slight cooling if afternoon winds increase against climatological late-August norms near 32–34°C. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 19?
36°C 40%
37°C 37%
35°C 19%
38°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
7%
35°C
13%
36°C
40%
37°C
37%
38°C
9%
39°C
6%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
4%
36°C 40%
37°C 37%
35°C 19%
38°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
32°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
33°C
$0 Обс.
4%
34°C
$0 Обс.
7%
35°C
$0 Обс.
13%
36°C
$0 Обс.
40%
37°C
$0 Обс.
37%
38°C
$0 Обс.
9%
39°C
$0 Обс.
6%
40°C
$5 Обс.
7%
41°C
$5 Обс.
3%
42°C or higher
$5 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from AEMET place Madrid’s maximum near 36°C on August 19 under continued high pressure and clear skies, with Met Office guidance at 35°C. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect modest uncertainty in peak values due to small variations in boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns, and the urban heat-island effect. Recent observations show maxima of 37–38°C, supporting elevated but not extreme probabilities across the 34–40°C range. Traders weigh the narrow forecast window and potential for slight cooling if afternoon winds increase against climatological late-August norms near 32–34°C. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from AEMET place Madrid’s maximum near 36°C on August 19 under continued high pressure and clear skies, with Met Office guidance at 35°C. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect modest uncertainty in peak values due to small variations in boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns, and the urban heat-island effect. Recent observations show maxima of 37–38°C, supporting elevated but not extreme probabilities across the 34–40°C range. Traders weigh the narrow forecast window and potential for slight cooling if afternoon winds increase against climatological late-August norms near 32–34°C. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from AEMET place Madrid’s maximum near 36°C on August 19 under continued high pressure and clear skies, with Met Office guidance at 35°C. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect modest uncertainty in peak values due to small variations in boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns, and the urban heat-island effect. Recent observations show maxima of 37–38°C, supporting elevated but not extreme probabilities across the 34–40°C range. Traders weigh the narrow forecast window and potential for slight cooling if afternoon winds increase against climatological late-August norms near 32–34°C. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs in the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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