Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by the UK Met Office and others indicate a Paris maximum of 28–29°C on August 17, following the mid-month heatwave peak of 36–38°C. The implied probabilities—59.5% for 29°C and 32% for 28°C—reflect consensus on post-heatwave moderation driven by advection of cooler Atlantic air, modest increases in cloud cover, and typical August steering patterns that limit further intensification. Trader positioning accounts for standard forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C around official guidance, concentrating nearly 90% probability mass on these two outcomes while sharply discounting 30°C or higher. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine the exact maximum ahead of daily resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 17?
29°C 60%
28°C 34%
27°C 6%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
$36,986 Обс.
НОВЕ
$36,986 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
34%
29°C
60%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 60%
28°C 34%
27°C 6%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
$36,986 Обс.
НОВЕ
$36,986 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$334 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$519 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,700 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,672 Обс.
6%
28°C
$8,631 Обс.
34%
29°C
$10,056 Обс.
60%
30°C
$3,840 Обс.
4%
31°C
$2,563 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,301 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$557 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$813 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by the UK Met Office and others indicate a Paris maximum of 28–29°C on August 17, following the mid-month heatwave peak of 36–38°C. The implied probabilities—59.5% for 29°C and 32% for 28°C—reflect consensus on post-heatwave moderation driven by advection of cooler Atlantic air, modest increases in cloud cover, and typical August steering patterns that limit further intensification. Trader positioning accounts for standard forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C around official guidance, concentrating nearly 90% probability mass on these two outcomes while sharply discounting 30°C or higher. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine the exact maximum ahead of daily resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$36,986Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by the UK Met Office and others indicate a Paris maximum of 28–29°C on August 17, following the mid-month heatwave peak of 36–38°C. The implied probabilities—59.5% for 29°C and 32% for 28°C—reflect consensus on post-heatwave moderation driven by advection of cooler Atlantic air, modest increases in cloud cover, and typical August steering patterns that limit further intensification. Trader positioning accounts for standard forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C around official guidance, concentrating nearly 90% probability mass on these two outcomes while sharply discounting 30°C or higher. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine the exact maximum ahead of daily resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$36,986Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models referenced by the UK Met Office and others indicate a Paris maximum of 28–29°C on August 17, following the mid-month heatwave peak of 36–38°C. The implied probabilities—59.5% for 29°C and 32% for 28°C—reflect consensus on post-heatwave moderation driven by advection of cooler Atlantic air, modest increases in cloud cover, and typical August steering patterns that limit further intensification. Trader positioning accounts for standard forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C around official guidance, concentrating nearly 90% probability mass on these two outcomes while sharply discounting 30°C or higher. Upcoming Météo-France updates will refine the exact maximum ahead of daily resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання