Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula and warm Red Sea surface temperatures near 30–32°C sustain extreme heat and humidity across Jeddah, driving mid-August daily maxima that climatologically average 38–43°C. Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather project highs of 38–41°C for August 18 with minimal cloud cover and light northwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 40°C-or-higher (45%) and 39°C (31%) outcomes while limiting downside risk to lower bins. No significant cooling fronts or monsoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these typical peak-summer conditions until updated model runs refine the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 18?
39°C 34%
38°C 20%
37°C 12%
36°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
7%
37°C
12%
38°C
20%
39°C
34%
40°C or higher
40%
39°C 34%
38°C 20%
37°C 12%
36°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$0 Обс.
1%
36°C
$0 Обс.
7%
37°C
$0 Обс.
12%
38°C
$0 Обс.
20%
39°C
$2 Обс.
34%
40°C or higher
$40 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula and warm Red Sea surface temperatures near 30–32°C sustain extreme heat and humidity across Jeddah, driving mid-August daily maxima that climatologically average 38–43°C. Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather project highs of 38–41°C for August 18 with minimal cloud cover and light northwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 40°C-or-higher (45%) and 39°C (31%) outcomes while limiting downside risk to lower bins. No significant cooling fronts or monsoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these typical peak-summer conditions until updated model runs refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula and warm Red Sea surface temperatures near 30–32°C sustain extreme heat and humidity across Jeddah, driving mid-August daily maxima that climatologically average 38–43°C. Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather project highs of 38–41°C for August 18 with minimal cloud cover and light northwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 40°C-or-higher (45%) and 39°C (31%) outcomes while limiting downside risk to lower bins. No significant cooling fronts or monsoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these typical peak-summer conditions until updated model runs refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula and warm Red Sea surface temperatures near 30–32°C sustain extreme heat and humidity across Jeddah, driving mid-August daily maxima that climatologically average 38–43°C. Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather project highs of 38–41°C for August 18 with minimal cloud cover and light northwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 40°C-or-higher (45%) and 39°C (31%) outcomes while limiting downside risk to lower bins. No significant cooling fronts or monsoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these typical peak-summer conditions until updated model runs refine the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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