Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com and AccuWeather indicate Qingdao highs near 31–32°C on August 18 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 32–33°C outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon typically moderate peak temperatures in this period, while cloud cover can suppress daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Current model consensus shows no strong heat advection or subsidence supporting extremes above 34°C, though minor forecast shifts in steering patterns or reduced cloudiness could allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, providing context for the modest upward bias in trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 18?
33°C 39%
34°C 23%
32°C 23%
35°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
23%
33°C
39%
34°C
23%
35°C
11%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
7%
33°C 39%
34°C 23%
32°C 23%
35°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$137 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$18 Обс.
1%
30°C
$10 Обс.
2%
31°C
$21 Обс.
10%
32°C
$0 Обс.
23%
33°C
$166 Обс.
39%
34°C
$52 Обс.
23%
35°C
$23 Обс.
11%
36°C
$78 Обс.
6%
37°C or higher
$37 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com and AccuWeather indicate Qingdao highs near 31–32°C on August 18 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 32–33°C outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon typically moderate peak temperatures in this period, while cloud cover can suppress daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Current model consensus shows no strong heat advection or subsidence supporting extremes above 34°C, though minor forecast shifts in steering patterns or reduced cloudiness could allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, providing context for the modest upward bias in trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$552Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com and AccuWeather indicate Qingdao highs near 31–32°C on August 18 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 32–33°C outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon typically moderate peak temperatures in this period, while cloud cover can suppress daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Current model consensus shows no strong heat advection or subsidence supporting extremes above 34°C, though minor forecast shifts in steering patterns or reduced cloudiness could allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, providing context for the modest upward bias in trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$552Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com and AccuWeather indicate Qingdao highs near 31–32°C on August 18 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 32–33°C outcomes. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon typically moderate peak temperatures in this period, while cloud cover can suppress daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Current model consensus shows no strong heat advection or subsidence supporting extremes above 34°C, though minor forecast shifts in steering patterns or reduced cloudiness could allow brief spikes. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, providing context for the modest upward bias in trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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