Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin as the main driver keeping Chengdu's August 18 maximum temperature probabilities tightly clustered between 23–25°C. High humidity and topographic trapping of moisture limit daytime heating, while variable precipitation timing creates small but resolution-critical differences among those outcomes. Historical August averages near 29–31°C provide context, yet the current steering pattern and model consensus favor below-normal highs. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast horizon, where minor shifts in convective activity or wind could adjust the final observed peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
23°C 35%
25°C 25%
24°C 22%
22°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
18%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C
25%
26°C
10%
27°C
10%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
25°C 25%
24°C 22%
22°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Обс.
4%
21°C
$35 Обс.
10%
22°C
$52 Обс.
18%
23°C
$123 Обс.
35%
24°C
$5 Обс.
22%
25°C
$0 Обс.
25%
26°C
$2 Обс.
10%
27°C
$0 Обс.
10%
28°C
$5 Обс.
4%
29°C
$12 Обс.
1%
30°C or higher
$16 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin as the main driver keeping Chengdu's August 18 maximum temperature probabilities tightly clustered between 23–25°C. High humidity and topographic trapping of moisture limit daytime heating, while variable precipitation timing creates small but resolution-critical differences among those outcomes. Historical August averages near 29–31°C provide context, yet the current steering pattern and model consensus favor below-normal highs. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast horizon, where minor shifts in convective activity or wind could adjust the final observed peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$260Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin as the main driver keeping Chengdu's August 18 maximum temperature probabilities tightly clustered between 23–25°C. High humidity and topographic trapping of moisture limit daytime heating, while variable precipitation timing creates small but resolution-critical differences among those outcomes. Historical August averages near 29–31°C provide context, yet the current steering pattern and model consensus favor below-normal highs. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast horizon, where minor shifts in convective activity or wind could adjust the final observed peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$260Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin as the main driver keeping Chengdu's August 18 maximum temperature probabilities tightly clustered between 23–25°C. High humidity and topographic trapping of moisture limit daytime heating, while variable precipitation timing creates small but resolution-critical differences among those outcomes. Historical August averages near 29–31°C provide context, yet the current steering pattern and model consensus favor below-normal highs. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast horizon, where minor shifts in convective activity or wind could adjust the final observed peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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