Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Moscow on August 21, driven by persistent moderate cloud cover, light southerly flow, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging that would favor warmer conditions. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 21–23°C as seasonal cooling sets in. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little spread, with minimal risk of either a sharp cool-down from increased precipitation or a spike above 24°C from clearer skies, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
22°C 31%
24°C 26%
25°C 14%
21°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
14%
22°C
31%
23°C
46%
24°C
26%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
13%
22°C 31%
24°C 26%
25°C 14%
21°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$5 Обс.
2%
20°C
$10 Обс.
7%
21°C
$0 Обс.
14%
22°C
$0 Обс.
31%
23°C
$225 Обс.
46%
24°C
$0 Обс.
26%
25°C
$0 Обс.
14%
26°C or higher
$27 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Moscow on August 21, driven by persistent moderate cloud cover, light southerly flow, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging that would favor warmer conditions. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 21–23°C as seasonal cooling sets in. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little spread, with minimal risk of either a sharp cool-down from increased precipitation or a spike above 24°C from clearer skies, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$272Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Moscow on August 21, driven by persistent moderate cloud cover, light southerly flow, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging that would favor warmer conditions. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 21–23°C as seasonal cooling sets in. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little spread, with minimal risk of either a sharp cool-down from increased precipitation or a spike above 24°C from clearer skies, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$272Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Moscow on August 21, driven by persistent moderate cloud cover, light southerly flow, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging that would favor warmer conditions. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 21–23°C as seasonal cooling sets in. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little spread, with minimal risk of either a sharp cool-down from increased precipitation or a spike above 24°C from clearer skies, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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