Recent numerical weather model runs from major centers indicate a daily maximum near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 21, supported by ongoing sunny conditions and above-average warmth extending from mid-August. This aligns with the month’s climatological baseline of 28–29°C highs while noting modest day-to-day variability from shifting northerly flow. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, incorporates uncertainty in official station measurements, potential slight cooling from localized sea breezes, and the narrow 1°C resolution bands typical of these short-term temperature markets. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
27°C 48%
26°C 36%
28°C 23%
29°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
9%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
18%
26°C
36%
27°C
48%
28°C
23%
29°C
19%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
8%
27°C 48%
26°C 36%
28°C 23%
29°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
9%
23°C
$22 Обс.
3%
24°C
$22 Обс.
6%
25°C
$0 Обс.
18%
26°C
$0 Обс.
36%
27°C
$0 Обс.
48%
28°C
$0 Обс.
23%
29°C
$0 Обс.
19%
30°C
$3 Обс.
12%
31°C
$22 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$22 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs from major centers indicate a daily maximum near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 21, supported by ongoing sunny conditions and above-average warmth extending from mid-August. This aligns with the month’s climatological baseline of 28–29°C highs while noting modest day-to-day variability from shifting northerly flow. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, incorporates uncertainty in official station measurements, potential slight cooling from localized sea breezes, and the narrow 1°C resolution bands typical of these short-term temperature markets. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$90Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs from major centers indicate a daily maximum near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 21, supported by ongoing sunny conditions and above-average warmth extending from mid-August. This aligns with the month’s climatological baseline of 28–29°C highs while noting modest day-to-day variability from shifting northerly flow. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, incorporates uncertainty in official station measurements, potential slight cooling from localized sea breezes, and the narrow 1°C resolution bands typical of these short-term temperature markets. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$90Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model runs from major centers indicate a daily maximum near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 21, supported by ongoing sunny conditions and above-average warmth extending from mid-August. This aligns with the month’s climatological baseline of 28–29°C highs while noting modest day-to-day variability from shifting northerly flow. Trader sentiment, reflected in the leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, incorporates uncertainty in official station measurements, potential slight cooling from localized sea breezes, and the narrow 1°C resolution bands typical of these short-term temperature markets. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання