Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and related European models point to a maximum temperature near 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, 2026, under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic maritime influence that favors the market’s leading 20°C outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 20–22°C without strong high-pressure blocking or southerly advection. Short-range model consensus remains stable with limited spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or frontal timing could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting these dynamical outputs alongside historical analogs and KNMI guidance updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
20°C 55%
19°C 29%
21°C 19%
18°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
12%
19°C
29%
20°C
55%
21°C
19%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 55%
19°C 29%
21°C 19%
18°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$0 Обс.
1%
17°C
$0 Обс.
9%
18°C
$0 Обс.
12%
19°C
$39 Обс.
29%
20°C
$36 Обс.
55%
21°C
$0 Обс.
19%
22°C
$0 Обс.
11%
23°C
$4 Обс.
9%
24°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and related European models point to a maximum temperature near 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, 2026, under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic maritime influence that favors the market’s leading 20°C outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 20–22°C without strong high-pressure blocking or southerly advection. Short-range model consensus remains stable with limited spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or frontal timing could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting these dynamical outputs alongside historical analogs and KNMI guidance updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$79Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and related European models point to a maximum temperature near 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, 2026, under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic maritime influence that favors the market’s leading 20°C outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 20–22°C without strong high-pressure blocking or southerly advection. Short-range model consensus remains stable with limited spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or frontal timing could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting these dynamical outputs alongside historical analogs and KNMI guidance updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$79Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and related European models point to a maximum temperature near 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, 2026, under moderate westerly flow and Atlantic maritime influence that favors the market’s leading 20°C outcome. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily highs typically range 20–22°C without strong high-pressure blocking or southerly advection. Short-range model consensus remains stable with limited spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or frontal timing could still adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting these dynamical outputs alongside historical analogs and KNMI guidance updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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