Recent forecasts indicate Istanbul will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 20, with model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather pointing to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid high pressure and light southerly flow. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 26–28°C, reflecting caution around potential northerly wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima by 2–4°C relative to climatological baselines of 28–31°C. Key differentiating factors include diurnal heating rates influenced by humidity levels near 60–70%, sea surface temperatures in the Bosphorus region moderating extremes, and the absence of strong advection from hotter interior air masses. With the market window closing in under 48 hours, upcoming ECMWF or GFS model updates on steering patterns and any late-day convective development will likely drive the tight spread among leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 20?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 20?
28°C 51%
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
29°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
26%
28°C
30%
29°C
16%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
29°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
$143 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$49 Обс.
1%
25°C
$5 Обс.
7%
26°C
$647 Обс.
25%
27°C
$78 Обс.
26%
28°C
$83 Обс.
30%
29°C
$100 Обс.
16%
30°C
$24 Обс.
11%
31°C
$5 Обс.
7%
32°C
$5 Обс.
7%
33°C or higher
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Istanbul will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 20, with model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather pointing to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid high pressure and light southerly flow. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 26–28°C, reflecting caution around potential northerly wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima by 2–4°C relative to climatological baselines of 28–31°C. Key differentiating factors include diurnal heating rates influenced by humidity levels near 60–70%, sea surface temperatures in the Bosphorus region moderating extremes, and the absence of strong advection from hotter interior air masses. With the market window closing in under 48 hours, upcoming ECMWF or GFS model updates on steering patterns and any late-day convective development will likely drive the tight spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,164Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Istanbul will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 20, with model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather pointing to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid high pressure and light southerly flow. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 26–28°C, reflecting caution around potential northerly wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima by 2–4°C relative to climatological baselines of 28–31°C. Key differentiating factors include diurnal heating rates influenced by humidity levels near 60–70%, sea surface temperatures in the Bosphorus region moderating extremes, and the absence of strong advection from hotter interior air masses. With the market window closing in under 48 hours, upcoming ECMWF or GFS model updates on steering patterns and any late-day convective development will likely drive the tight spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,164Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Istanbul will experience typical late-summer conditions on August 20, with model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather pointing to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid high pressure and light southerly flow. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 26–28°C, reflecting caution around potential northerly wind shifts or increased cloud cover that could suppress maxima by 2–4°C relative to climatological baselines of 28–31°C. Key differentiating factors include diurnal heating rates influenced by humidity levels near 60–70%, sea surface temperatures in the Bosphorus region moderating extremes, and the absence of strong advection from hotter interior air masses. With the market window closing in under 48 hours, upcoming ECMWF or GFS model updates on steering patterns and any late-day convective development will likely drive the tight spread among leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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