Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 20 project a daytime high of 26–34°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with the market-implied 34°C leading at 35.5%, ahead of 33°C at 31%. Key differentiators include afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief spikes toward 35°C. Weak steering winds and regional moisture patterns introduce modest uncertainty across short-range models, with traders weighting recent CWA guidance and historical August baselines near 32–34°C. Updated model runs and any typhoon-related steering changes ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on August 20?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 20?
34°C 37%
33°C 31%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
11%
33°C
31%
34°C
37%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
4%
34°C 37%
33°C 31%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
$201 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$201 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$59 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$38 Обс.
1%
30°C
$117 Обс.
2%
31°C
$18 Обс.
4%
32°C
$18 Обс.
11%
33°C
$63 Обс.
31%
34°C
$102 Обс.
37%
35°C
$188 Обс.
14%
36°C or higher
$58 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 20 project a daytime high of 26–34°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with the market-implied 34°C leading at 35.5%, ahead of 33°C at 31%. Key differentiators include afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief spikes toward 35°C. Weak steering winds and regional moisture patterns introduce modest uncertainty across short-range models, with traders weighting recent CWA guidance and historical August baselines near 32–34°C. Updated model runs and any typhoon-related steering changes ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,062Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 20 project a daytime high of 26–34°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with the market-implied 34°C leading at 35.5%, ahead of 33°C at 31%. Key differentiators include afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief spikes toward 35°C. Weak steering winds and regional moisture patterns introduce modest uncertainty across short-range models, with traders weighting recent CWA guidance and historical August baselines near 32–34°C. Updated model runs and any typhoon-related steering changes ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,062Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 20 project a daytime high of 26–34°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with the market-implied 34°C leading at 35.5%, ahead of 33°C at 31%. Key differentiators include afternoon convective showers or increased cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies allowing brief spikes toward 35°C. Weak steering winds and regional moisture patterns introduce modest uncertainty across short-range models, with traders weighting recent CWA guidance and historical August baselines near 32–34°C. Updated model runs and any typhoon-related steering changes ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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