Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to Moscow highs near 20°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible early showers limiting peak heating. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C, as modest differences in forecast timing or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Declining solar insolation and the absence of strong warm-air advection from the south keep extremes unlikely, while historical mid-August averages of 20–22°C provide context for the current trader focus on this narrow band. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
21°C 33%
20°C 27%
19°C 25%
22°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
11%
19°C
25%
20°C
27%
21°C
33%
22°C
12%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 33%
20°C 27%
19°C 25%
22°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Обс.
2%
17°C
$92 Обс.
10%
18°C
$84 Обс.
11%
19°C
$10 Обс.
25%
20°C
$0 Обс.
27%
21°C
$0 Обс.
33%
22°C
$0 Обс.
12%
23°C
$0 Обс.
11%
24°C
$10 Обс.
7%
25°C
$5 Обс.
7%
26°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to Moscow highs near 20°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible early showers limiting peak heating. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C, as modest differences in forecast timing or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Declining solar insolation and the absence of strong warm-air advection from the south keep extremes unlikely, while historical mid-August averages of 20–22°C provide context for the current trader focus on this narrow band. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$217Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to Moscow highs near 20°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible early showers limiting peak heating. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C, as modest differences in forecast timing or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Declining solar insolation and the absence of strong warm-air advection from the south keep extremes unlikely, while historical mid-August averages of 20–22°C provide context for the current trader focus on this narrow band. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$217Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather points to Moscow highs near 20°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer conditions, with light winds, variable cloud cover, and possible early showers limiting peak heating. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C, as modest differences in forecast timing or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Declining solar insolation and the absence of strong warm-air advection from the south keep extremes unlikely, while historical mid-August averages of 20–22°C provide context for the current trader focus on this narrow band. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання