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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?

Ended: Aug 21

Sep 18

Sep 19

Sep 20

Sep 21

Ended: Aug 21

Sep 18

Sep 19

Sep 20

Sep 21

25°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$52,008 Обс.

25°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$52,008 Обс.

22°C or below

$1,937 Обс.

No

23°C

$3,851 Обс.

No

24°C

$8,115 Обс.

No

25°C

$11,101 Обс.

Yes

26°C

$6,170 Обс.

No

27°C

$6,111 Обс.

No

28°C

$6,188 Обс.

No

29°C

$2,853 Обс.

No

30°C

$2,170 Обс.

No

31°C

$1,977 Обс.

No

32°C or higher

$1,536 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 25°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High-pressure dominance and urban heat retention prevented cooler overnight readings, consistent with historical August baselines where lows cluster near 25–27°C. Pre-event forecast models from regional agencies showed tight agreement around this threshold, with limited scope for measurement variance at primary stations. Final verified data releases leave little room for revision, though discrepancies in auxiliary station readings or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before formal closure.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$52,008
Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 25°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming this minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High-pressure dominance and urban heat retention prevented cooler overnight readings, consistent with historical August baselines where lows cluster near 25–27°C. Pre-event forecast models from regional agencies showed tight agreement around this threshold, with limited scope for measurement variance at primary stations. Final verified data releases leave little room for revision, though discrepancies in auxiliary station readings or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor adjustments before formal closure.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$52,008
Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20?

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «25°C» з 100%, далі «22°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?» згенерував $52K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 19, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?» — «25°C» з 100%. Наступний — «22°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.