Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 20 project a daytime high near 96°F under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, aligning closely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome. Late-September climatology in North Texas supports mid-to-upper 90s readings when high pressure dominates and moisture remains moderate, producing heat indices near 100°F despite dew points in the upper 60s. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office have shown minimal shifts in the maximum temperature guidance, with afternoon updates reinforcing the mid-90s peak before evening thunderstorm chances increase. Historical September averages for the area hover around 90-92°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with the strong market-implied probability for the narrow 96-97°F bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on September 20?
96-97°F 96%
98-99°F 4%
100-101°F <1%
89°F or below <1%
$40,685 Обс.
$40,685 Обс.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
96%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 96%
98-99°F 4%
100-101°F <1%
89°F or below <1%
$40,685 Обс.
$40,685 Обс.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
96%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 20 project a daytime high near 96°F under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, aligning closely with the market's dominant 96-97°F outcome. Late-September climatology in North Texas supports mid-to-upper 90s readings when high pressure dominates and moisture remains moderate, producing heat indices near 100°F despite dew points in the upper 60s. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office have shown minimal shifts in the maximum temperature guidance, with afternoon updates reinforcing the mid-90s peak before evening thunderstorm chances increase. Historical September averages for the area hover around 90-92°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with the strong market-implied probability for the narrow 96-97°F bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання