**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a daily high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 88-89°F bin at 39% implied probability.** Persistent warm, humid air typical of late September supports daytime temperatures near or slightly above the 89°F seasonal normal, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms—forecast with 50-80% chance—introduce modest cooling through cloud cover and rain, keeping the most probable range at 86-89°F. Overnight lows in the mid-70s and light variable winds allow modest recovery, but the overall pattern shows no strong warming or cooling signals. Recent observations from September 19 (actual high 90°F) and stable model runs reinforce trader focus on the upper 80s rather than extremes, with lower-probability bins (90°F+) reflecting residual uncertainty around storm timing and intensity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on September 20?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 20?
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
НОВЕ
$26,328 Обс.
НОВЕ
$26,328 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
НОВЕ
$26,328 Обс.
НОВЕ
$26,328 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
77°F or below
$3,812 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,994 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$1,501 Обс.
2%
82-83°F
$2,351 Обс.
6%
84-85°F
$2,614 Обс.
12%
86-87°F
$2,296 Обс.
30%
88-89°F
$3,282 Обс.
39%
90-91°F
$3,930 Обс.
16%
92-93°F
$2,778 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$486 Обс.
<1%
96°F or higher
$285 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a daily high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 88-89°F bin at 39% implied probability.**
Persistent warm, humid air typical of late September supports daytime temperatures near or slightly above the 89°F seasonal normal, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms—forecast with 50-80% chance—introduce modest cooling through cloud cover and rain, keeping the most probable range at 86-89°F. Overnight lows in the mid-70s and light variable winds allow modest recovery, but the overall pattern shows no strong warming or cooling signals. Recent observations from September 19 (actual high 90°F) and stable model runs reinforce trader focus on the upper 80s rather than extremes, with lower-probability bins (90°F+) reflecting residual uncertainty around storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,328Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a daily high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 88-89°F bin at 39% implied probability.**
Persistent warm, humid air typical of late September supports daytime temperatures near or slightly above the 89°F seasonal normal, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms—forecast with 50-80% chance—introduce modest cooling through cloud cover and rain, keeping the most probable range at 86-89°F. Overnight lows in the mid-70s and light variable winds allow modest recovery, but the overall pattern shows no strong warming or cooling signals. Recent observations from September 19 (actual high 90°F) and stable model runs reinforce trader focus on the upper 80s rather than extremes, with lower-probability bins (90°F+) reflecting residual uncertainty around storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$26,328Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models points to a daily high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 88-89°F bin at 39% implied probability.** Persistent warm, humid air typical of late September supports daytime temperatures near or slightly above the 89°F seasonal normal, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms—forecast with 50-80% chance—introduce modest cooling through cloud cover and rain, keeping the most probable range at 86-89°F. Overnight lows in the mid-70s and light variable winds allow modest recovery, but the overall pattern shows no strong warming or cooling signals. Recent observations from September 19 (actual high 90°F) and stable model runs reinforce trader focus on the upper 80s rather than extremes, with lower-probability bins (90°F+) reflecting residual uncertainty around storm timing and intensity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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