Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 76°F and cloud cover from afternoon convection further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the season’s above-normal baseline after an unusually warm summer. Trader sentiment clusters on the 74–77°F bins because ensemble spreads and small timing shifts in precipitation or wind could push the minimum a degree or two either way, while the narrow probabilities between leading outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in the final observed low before resolution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 20?
72-73°F 36%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 28%
70-71°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
69°F or below
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 36%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 28%
70-71°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Обс.
11%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
36%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
33%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
11%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
5%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
1%
88°F or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 76°F and cloud cover from afternoon convection further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the season’s above-normal baseline after an unusually warm summer. Trader sentiment clusters on the 74–77°F bins because ensemble spreads and small timing shifts in precipitation or wind could push the minimum a degree or two either way, while the narrow probabilities between leading outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in the final observed low before resolution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 76°F and cloud cover from afternoon convection further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the season’s above-normal baseline after an unusually warm summer. Trader sentiment clusters on the 74–77°F bins because ensemble spreads and small timing shifts in precipitation or wind could push the minimum a degree or two either way, while the narrow probabilities between leading outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in the final observed low before resolution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Miami point to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 76°F and cloud cover from afternoon convection further moderate temperature drops, aligning with the season’s above-normal baseline after an unusually warm summer. Trader sentiment clusters on the 74–77°F bins because ensemble spreads and small timing shifts in precipitation or wind could push the minimum a degree or two either way, while the narrow probabilities between leading outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in the final observed low before resolution. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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