Latest forecast models from sources including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research position a daytime maximum near 15°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 18, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent runs show afternoon peaks clustering between 14–16°C with low precipitation probability after overnight showers clear, narrowing the distribution and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C while leaving modest implied probability for 14°C or 16°C if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Official observations from the prior 48 hours confirm temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, with no major model divergence noted ahead of the final 24-hour window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 18?
15°C 65%
14°C 18%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
НОВЕ
$12,310 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,310 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
18%
15°C
65%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 65%
14°C 18%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
НОВЕ
$12,310 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,310 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
$253 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$299 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$333 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$596 Обс.
1%
13°C
$871 Обс.
3%
14°C
$2,133 Обс.
18%
15°C
$3,512 Обс.
65%
16°C
$2,654 Обс.
16%
17°C
$811 Обс.
2%
18°C
$568 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$279 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research position a daytime maximum near 15°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 18, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent runs show afternoon peaks clustering between 14–16°C with low precipitation probability after overnight showers clear, narrowing the distribution and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C while leaving modest implied probability for 14°C or 16°C if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Official observations from the prior 48 hours confirm temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, with no major model divergence noted ahead of the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,310Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research position a daytime maximum near 15°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 18, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent runs show afternoon peaks clustering between 14–16°C with low precipitation probability after overnight showers clear, narrowing the distribution and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C while leaving modest implied probability for 14°C or 16°C if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Official observations from the prior 48 hours confirm temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, with no major model divergence noted ahead of the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,310Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research position a daytime maximum near 15°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 18, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent runs show afternoon peaks clustering between 14–16°C with low precipitation probability after overnight showers clear, narrowing the distribution and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C while leaving modest implied probability for 14°C or 16°C if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Official observations from the prior 48 hours confirm temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, with no major model divergence noted ahead of the final 24-hour window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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