Market-implied odds favor a 28°C high in Shanghai on September 17 at 58.5%, followed by 29°C at 23%, reflecting broad consensus in numerical weather models and official forecasts for mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and easterly flow. These conditions typically cap daytime heating near seasonal norms for mid-September, as increased cloud cover and modest moisture reduce solar insolation and limit afternoon peaks compared to clearer days. Recent observations from September 15–16 show similar highs around 29–30°C under comparable patterns, reinforcing the outlook without major shifts in steering or instability. Upcoming model runs and local meteorological updates will refine any adjustments to the temperature profile before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
28°C 59%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
$19,272 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,272 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
18%
28°C
59%
29°C
24%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 59%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
$19,272 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,272 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
$199 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,021 Обс.
1%
27°C
$7,207 Обс.
18%
28°C
$3,722 Обс.
59%
29°C
$3,291 Обс.
24%
30°C
$1,257 Обс.
4%
31°C
$1,201 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$675 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$308 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$196 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$196 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a 28°C high in Shanghai on September 17 at 58.5%, followed by 29°C at 23%, reflecting broad consensus in numerical weather models and official forecasts for mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and easterly flow. These conditions typically cap daytime heating near seasonal norms for mid-September, as increased cloud cover and modest moisture reduce solar insolation and limit afternoon peaks compared to clearer days. Recent observations from September 15–16 show similar highs around 29–30°C under comparable patterns, reinforcing the outlook without major shifts in steering or instability. Upcoming model runs and local meteorological updates will refine any adjustments to the temperature profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,272Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a 28°C high in Shanghai on September 17 at 58.5%, followed by 29°C at 23%, reflecting broad consensus in numerical weather models and official forecasts for mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and easterly flow. These conditions typically cap daytime heating near seasonal norms for mid-September, as increased cloud cover and modest moisture reduce solar insolation and limit afternoon peaks compared to clearer days. Recent observations from September 15–16 show similar highs around 29–30°C under comparable patterns, reinforcing the outlook without major shifts in steering or instability. Upcoming model runs and local meteorological updates will refine any adjustments to the temperature profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19,272Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor a 28°C high in Shanghai on September 17 at 58.5%, followed by 29°C at 23%, reflecting broad consensus in numerical weather models and official forecasts for mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and easterly flow. These conditions typically cap daytime heating near seasonal norms for mid-September, as increased cloud cover and modest moisture reduce solar insolation and limit afternoon peaks compared to clearer days. Recent observations from September 15–16 show similar highs around 29–30°C under comparable patterns, reinforcing the outlook without major shifts in steering or instability. Upcoming model runs and local meteorological updates will refine any adjustments to the temperature profile before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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