Recent high-pressure dominance over the Pacific Northwest, with clear skies and light northerly winds, supports maximum solar insolation and daytime warming to the mid-70s°F on September 17. Official forecasts from sources including NOAA-aligned models project highs of 73–76°F, consistent with historical late-September averages near 70°F but elevated by the settled pattern. This alignment drives the market's concentration on 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture could adjust the peak by 1–2°F, with updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on September 17?
74-75°F 51%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 13%
70-71°F 10%
65°F or below
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
51%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
3%
74-75°F 51%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 13%
70-71°F 10%
65°F or below
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
51%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance over the Pacific Northwest, with clear skies and light northerly winds, supports maximum solar insolation and daytime warming to the mid-70s°F on September 17. Official forecasts from sources including NOAA-aligned models project highs of 73–76°F, consistent with historical late-September averages near 70°F but elevated by the settled pattern. This alignment drives the market's concentration on 74–75°F and 76–77°F bins. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture could adjust the peak by 1–2°F, with updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання