Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime high near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and isolated showers, aligning closely with September climatological averages of 30–31°C. Trader consensus has consolidated around 31°C due to real-time observations showing gradual warming to the low 30s amid high humidity near 70–90% and limited insolation from cloud cover, consistent with ensemble model guidance. This positioning reflects the narrow range of expected peak readings under current steering patterns and moisture levels. A delay in convective activity or stronger solar heating could push readings to 32°C or higher, while earlier or more widespread showers would favor outcomes at or below 30°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$125,911 Обс.
$125,911 Обс.
Sep 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$125,911 Обс.
$125,911 Обс.
Sep 15, 2026
25°C or below
$242 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$172 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$6,145 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$15,059 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$13,874 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$24,343 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$25,734 Обс.
100%
32°C
$19,776 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$15,230 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$3,419 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,916 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime high near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and isolated showers, aligning closely with September climatological averages of 30–31°C. Trader consensus has consolidated around 31°C due to real-time observations showing gradual warming to the low 30s amid high humidity near 70–90% and limited insolation from cloud cover, consistent with ensemble model guidance. This positioning reflects the narrow range of expected peak readings under current steering patterns and moisture levels. A delay in convective activity or stronger solar heating could push readings to 32°C or higher, while earlier or more widespread showers would favor outcomes at or below 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$125,911Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime high near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and isolated showers, aligning closely with September climatological averages of 30–31°C. Trader consensus has consolidated around 31°C due to real-time observations showing gradual warming to the low 30s amid high humidity near 70–90% and limited insolation from cloud cover, consistent with ensemble model guidance. This positioning reflects the narrow range of expected peak readings under current steering patterns and moisture levels. A delay in convective activity or stronger solar heating could push readings to 32°C or higher, while earlier or more widespread showers would favor outcomes at or below 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$125,911Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime high near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and isolated showers, aligning closely with September climatological averages of 30–31°C. Trader consensus has consolidated around 31°C due to real-time observations showing gradual warming to the low 30s amid high humidity near 70–90% and limited insolation from cloud cover, consistent with ensemble model guidance. This positioning reflects the narrow range of expected peak readings under current steering patterns and moisture levels. A delay in convective activity or stronger solar heating could push readings to 32°C or higher, while earlier or more widespread showers would favor outcomes at or below 30°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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