Current short-range forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a Tuesday high of 22–23°C in Toronto under southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies, positioning those outcomes as the market leaders. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 22–23°C before any showers develop, consistent with the 37% implied probability for 23°C and support for 22°C and 24°C. Ensemble spread and minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shift create the observed probability distribution, with lower odds for 25°C or higher reflecting limited warming potential. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada guidance through September 14 will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on September 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 15?
23°C 38%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
26°C or higher 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
22%
23°C
38%
24°C
24%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
14%
23°C 38%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
26°C or higher 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
17°C
$0 Обс.
4%
18°C
$5 Обс.
4%
19°C
$0 Обс.
7%
20°C
$0 Обс.
9%
21°C
$79 Обс.
8%
22°C
$1,795 Обс.
22%
23°C
$3 Обс.
38%
24°C
$727 Обс.
24%
25°C
$342 Обс.
11%
26°C or higher
$8 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a Tuesday high of 22–23°C in Toronto under southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies, positioning those outcomes as the market leaders. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 22–23°C before any showers develop, consistent with the 37% implied probability for 23°C and support for 22°C and 24°C. Ensemble spread and minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shift create the observed probability distribution, with lower odds for 25°C or higher reflecting limited warming potential. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada guidance through September 14 will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,959Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a Tuesday high of 22–23°C in Toronto under southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies, positioning those outcomes as the market leaders. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 22–23°C before any showers develop, consistent with the 37% implied probability for 23°C and support for 22°C and 24°C. Ensemble spread and minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shift create the observed probability distribution, with lower odds for 25°C or higher reflecting limited warming potential. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada guidance through September 14 will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,959Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate a Tuesday high of 22–23°C in Toronto under southerly flow and mostly cloudy skies, positioning those outcomes as the market leaders. Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak near 22–23°C before any showers develop, consistent with the 37% implied probability for 23°C and support for 22°C and 24°C. Ensemble spread and minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind shift create the observed probability distribution, with lower odds for 25°C or higher reflecting limited warming potential. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada guidance through September 14 will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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