Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates Qingdao's September 15 overnight low will settle near 20–21°C under clear, southerly flow with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader focus on the 15–24°C range. Coastal marine influence and typical September diurnal swings of 5–8°C limit extremes, though slight model spread in boundary layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage creates the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Stable high pressure and absence of significant synoptic changes in the past 48 hours have kept probabilities balanced, with final resolution hinging on official station readings at 00:00–06:00 local time on the 15th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 15?
24°C or higher 97%
14°C or below 49%
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
49%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
17%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
97%
24°C or higher 97%
14°C or below 49%
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
49%
15°C
$0 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$0 Обс.
20%
18°C
$0 Обс.
20%
19°C
$10 Обс.
17%
20°C
$10 Обс.
1%
21°C
$10 Обс.
1%
22°C
$10 Обс.
1%
23°C
$10 Обс.
13%
24°C or higher
$10 Обс.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates Qingdao's September 15 overnight low will settle near 20–21°C under clear, southerly flow with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader focus on the 15–24°C range. Coastal marine influence and typical September diurnal swings of 5–8°C limit extremes, though slight model spread in boundary layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage creates the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Stable high pressure and absence of significant synoptic changes in the past 48 hours have kept probabilities balanced, with final resolution hinging on official station readings at 00:00–06:00 local time on the 15th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates Qingdao's September 15 overnight low will settle near 20–21°C under clear, southerly flow with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader focus on the 15–24°C range. Coastal marine influence and typical September diurnal swings of 5–8°C limit extremes, though slight model spread in boundary layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage creates the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Stable high pressure and absence of significant synoptic changes in the past 48 hours have kept probabilities balanced, with final resolution hinging on official station readings at 00:00–06:00 local time on the 15th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates Qingdao's September 15 overnight low will settle near 20–21°C under clear, southerly flow with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader focus on the 15–24°C range. Coastal marine influence and typical September diurnal swings of 5–8°C limit extremes, though slight model spread in boundary layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage creates the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes. Stable high pressure and absence of significant synoptic changes in the past 48 hours have kept probabilities balanced, with final resolution hinging on official station readings at 00:00–06:00 local time on the 15th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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