Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Manila's September 15 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover typical of the southwest monsoon season. Afternoon convection often caps daytime peaks by reducing solar insolation, while light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80% limit further warming. Historical September averages hover near 31°C, yet recent model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the chance of slightly drier conditions allowing 33°C against the more probable rain-cooled outcome, with new observational data and updated guidance expected in the next 48 hours to refine resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
33°C 38%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
27%
33°C
38%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
32°C 27%
34°C 14%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Обс.
3%
28°C
$10 Обс.
3%
29°C
$9 Обс.
5%
30°C
$0 Обс.
7%
31°C
$0 Обс.
12%
32°C
$0 Обс.
27%
33°C
$67 Обс.
38%
34°C
$26 Обс.
14%
35°C
$18 Обс.
2%
36°C
$10 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Manila's September 15 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover typical of the southwest monsoon season. Afternoon convection often caps daytime peaks by reducing solar insolation, while light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80% limit further warming. Historical September averages hover near 31°C, yet recent model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the chance of slightly drier conditions allowing 33°C against the more probable rain-cooled outcome, with new observational data and updated guidance expected in the next 48 hours to refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$160Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Manila's September 15 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover typical of the southwest monsoon season. Afternoon convection often caps daytime peaks by reducing solar insolation, while light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80% limit further warming. Historical September averages hover near 31°C, yet recent model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the chance of slightly drier conditions allowing 33°C against the more probable rain-cooled outcome, with new observational data and updated guidance expected in the next 48 hours to refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$160Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Manila's September 15 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range amid scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover typical of the southwest monsoon season. Afternoon convection often caps daytime peaks by reducing solar insolation, while light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80% limit further warming. Historical September averages hover near 31°C, yet recent model runs show modest spread tied to storm timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh the chance of slightly drier conditions allowing 33°C against the more probable rain-cooled outcome, with new observational data and updated guidance expected in the next 48 hours to refine resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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