Recent PAGASA guidance and GFS model runs point to typical southwest monsoon conditions over Manila through September 15, with scattered showers, high humidity near 90 percent at night, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near the seasonal 25–26 °C average. Trader sentiment remains closely split between unusually cool minima (21 °C or below) and unusually warm ones (31 °C or higher) because small shifts in cloud cover timing or localized thunderstorm outflow can alter the minimum by several degrees; clear spells allow greater heat loss while persistent low clouds or rain suppress it. Historical September lows rarely stray outside 24–27 °C, underscoring the genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 15?
31°C or higher 73%
21°C or below 59%
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
59%
22°C
15%
23°C
20%
24°C
19%
25°C
25%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
19%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
73%
31°C or higher 73%
21°C or below 59%
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Обс.
59%
22°C
$10 Обс.
15%
23°C
$0 Обс.
20%
24°C
$0 Обс.
19%
25°C
$0 Обс.
25%
26°C
$0 Обс.
28%
27°C
$0 Обс.
29%
28°C
$0 Обс.
19%
29°C
$10 Обс.
16%
30°C
$10 Обс.
16%
31°C or higher
$10 Обс.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance and GFS model runs point to typical southwest monsoon conditions over Manila through September 15, with scattered showers, high humidity near 90 percent at night, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near the seasonal 25–26 °C average. Trader sentiment remains closely split between unusually cool minima (21 °C or below) and unusually warm ones (31 °C or higher) because small shifts in cloud cover timing or localized thunderstorm outflow can alter the minimum by several degrees; clear spells allow greater heat loss while persistent low clouds or rain suppress it. Historical September lows rarely stray outside 24–27 °C, underscoring the genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$50Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance and GFS model runs point to typical southwest monsoon conditions over Manila through September 15, with scattered showers, high humidity near 90 percent at night, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near the seasonal 25–26 °C average. Trader sentiment remains closely split between unusually cool minima (21 °C or below) and unusually warm ones (31 °C or higher) because small shifts in cloud cover timing or localized thunderstorm outflow can alter the minimum by several degrees; clear spells allow greater heat loss while persistent low clouds or rain suppress it. Historical September lows rarely stray outside 24–27 °C, underscoring the genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$50Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA guidance and GFS model runs point to typical southwest monsoon conditions over Manila through September 15, with scattered showers, high humidity near 90 percent at night, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near the seasonal 25–26 °C average. Trader sentiment remains closely split between unusually cool minima (21 °C or below) and unusually warm ones (31 °C or higher) because small shifts in cloud cover timing or localized thunderstorm outflow can alter the minimum by several degrees; clear spells allow greater heat loss while persistent low clouds or rain suppress it. Historical September lows rarely stray outside 24–27 °C, underscoring the genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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