Current model consensus from GFS and other guidance supports a September 13 high in Paris near 25–27°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure near 1015–1025 hPa. This stable pattern, with limited diurnal mixing and modest moisture, keeps afternoon maxima above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22°C while capping the upside potential. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with the heaviest implied probability on 26°C followed by 25°C and 27°C; fresh model runs or unexpected cloud cover changes could still nudge the realized maximum within this band before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 13?
26°C 41%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
27%
26°C
41%
27°C
18%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
27%
26°C
41%
27°C
18%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from GFS and other guidance supports a September 13 high in Paris near 25–27°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure near 1015–1025 hPa. This stable pattern, with limited diurnal mixing and modest moisture, keeps afternoon maxima above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22°C while capping the upside potential. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with the heaviest implied probability on 26°C followed by 25°C and 27°C; fresh model runs or unexpected cloud cover changes could still nudge the realized maximum within this band before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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