Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in London on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's strong 70% implied probability for 24°C and 22.5% for 23°C, as afternoon observations have approached but not exceeded that threshold amid typical early-autumn radiative heating and no significant warm advection. Historical September averages near 20.5°C provide context for the modest positive anomaly, while low odds on 25°C or higher reflect consensus that steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing will cap further warming before evening. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday reinforce this narrow range ahead of final daily verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 12?
Highest temperature in London on September 12?
24°C 48%
23°C 47%
25°C 4%
26°C <1%
$59,222 Обс.
$59,222 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
47%
24°C
48%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 47%
25°C 4%
26°C <1%
$59,222 Обс.
$59,222 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
$360 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$3,171 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$3,835 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$8,588 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$9,576 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$8,714 Обс.
47%
24°C
$9,490 Обс.
48%
25°C
$7,542 Обс.
4%
26°C
$4,854 Обс.
1%
27°C or higher
$1,452 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in London on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's strong 70% implied probability for 24°C and 22.5% for 23°C, as afternoon observations have approached but not exceeded that threshold amid typical early-autumn radiative heating and no significant warm advection. Historical September averages near 20.5°C provide context for the modest positive anomaly, while low odds on 25°C or higher reflect consensus that steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing will cap further warming before evening. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday reinforce this narrow range ahead of final daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$59,222Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in London on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's strong 70% implied probability for 24°C and 22.5% for 23°C, as afternoon observations have approached but not exceeded that threshold amid typical early-autumn radiative heating and no significant warm advection. Historical September averages near 20.5°C provide context for the modest positive anomaly, while low odds on 25°C or higher reflect consensus that steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing will cap further warming before evening. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday reinforce this narrow range ahead of final daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$59,222Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C in London on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's strong 70% implied probability for 24°C and 22.5% for 23°C, as afternoon observations have approached but not exceeded that threshold amid typical early-autumn radiative heating and no significant warm advection. Historical September averages near 20.5°C provide context for the modest positive anomaly, while low odds on 25°C or higher reflect consensus that steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing will cap further warming before evening. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday reinforce this narrow range ahead of final daily verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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