Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to afternoon highs in Shenzhen reaching 31–33°C on September 12, with 32°C favored amid partly cloudy skies, northeast winds near 10 km/h, and scattered thunderstorm development that could cap peak heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. High humidity around 60–70% and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface temperatures, while historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context. Traders weigh hourly updates from surface stations against ensemble spreads, noting that stronger convection or earlier rain onset would favor 31°C resolution while clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C before evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
32°C 47%
33°C 34%
31°C 15%
34°C 5%
НОВЕ
$27,227 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,227 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
15%
32°C
47%
33°C
34%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 34%
31°C 15%
34°C 5%
НОВЕ
$27,227 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,227 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
$5,412 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,944 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,491 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$2,335 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$6,455 Обс.
15%
32°C
$2,294 Обс.
47%
33°C
$2,024 Обс.
34%
34°C
$2,648 Обс.
5%
35°C
$1,273 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$175 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$175 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to afternoon highs in Shenzhen reaching 31–33°C on September 12, with 32°C favored amid partly cloudy skies, northeast winds near 10 km/h, and scattered thunderstorm development that could cap peak heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. High humidity around 60–70% and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface temperatures, while historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context. Traders weigh hourly updates from surface stations against ensemble spreads, noting that stronger convection or earlier rain onset would favor 31°C resolution while clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,227Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to afternoon highs in Shenzhen reaching 31–33°C on September 12, with 32°C favored amid partly cloudy skies, northeast winds near 10 km/h, and scattered thunderstorm development that could cap peak heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. High humidity around 60–70% and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface temperatures, while historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context. Traders weigh hourly updates from surface stations against ensemble spreads, noting that stronger convection or earlier rain onset would favor 31°C resolution while clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,227Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to afternoon highs in Shenzhen reaching 31–33°C on September 12, with 32°C favored amid partly cloudy skies, northeast winds near 10 km/h, and scattered thunderstorm development that could cap peak heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. High humidity around 60–70% and dew points near 24°C further moderate surface temperatures, while historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context. Traders weigh hourly updates from surface stations against ensemble spreads, noting that stronger convection or earlier rain onset would favor 31°C resolution while clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C before evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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