Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco's September 13 high will likely reach the upper 60s to low 70s under sunny to mostly clear skies and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific. Persistent westerly winds and coastal upwelling continue to suppress temperatures near the historical average of roughly 71°F, limiting any significant warming despite clear conditions. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 70-71°F and 25% for 68-69°F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers above 72°F or below 68°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the final official high used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 13?
70-71°F 54%
68-69°F 26%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
54%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 54%
68-69°F 26%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
61°F or below
$333 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$125 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$75 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$290 Обс.
3%
68-69°F
$1,522 Обс.
26%
70-71°F
$3,239 Обс.
54%
72-73°F
$591 Обс.
16%
74-75°F
$237 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$236 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$199 Обс.
<1%
80°F or higher
$141 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco's September 13 high will likely reach the upper 60s to low 70s under sunny to mostly clear skies and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific. Persistent westerly winds and coastal upwelling continue to suppress temperatures near the historical average of roughly 71°F, limiting any significant warming despite clear conditions. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 70-71°F and 25% for 68-69°F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers above 72°F or below 68°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the final official high used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,987Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco's September 13 high will likely reach the upper 60s to low 70s under sunny to mostly clear skies and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific. Persistent westerly winds and coastal upwelling continue to suppress temperatures near the historical average of roughly 71°F, limiting any significant warming despite clear conditions. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 70-71°F and 25% for 68-69°F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers above 72°F or below 68°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the final official high used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,987Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco's September 13 high will likely reach the upper 60s to low 70s under sunny to mostly clear skies and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific. Persistent westerly winds and coastal upwelling continue to suppress temperatures near the historical average of roughly 71°F, limiting any significant warming despite clear conditions. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 70-71°F and 25% for 68-69°F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers above 72°F or below 68°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the final official high used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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