Current forecasts from models such as GFS and official guidance place the September 13 maximum temperature in the Incheon area at 24–25°C under overcast skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure around 30 inches of mercury. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25°C at 55% implied probability and 24°C at 32%. Historical norms for mid-September show averages near 21°C with highs occasionally reaching 25°C, and the absence of frontal systems or stronger winds supports this narrow range. Updated model runs and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables that could nudge the daily high within the 23–26°C band before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
25°C 55%
24°C 33%
23°C 8%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
$14,705 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,705 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
33%
25°C
55%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
24°C 33%
23°C 8%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
$14,705 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,705 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$307 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$711 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$498 Обс.
1%
22°C
$1,377 Обс.
2%
23°C
$2,045 Обс.
8%
24°C
$2,987 Обс.
33%
25°C
$3,009 Обс.
55%
26°C
$1,771 Обс.
6%
27°C
$1,073 Обс.
2%
28°C
$404 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$521 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS and official guidance place the September 13 maximum temperature in the Incheon area at 24–25°C under overcast skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure around 30 inches of mercury. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25°C at 55% implied probability and 24°C at 32%. Historical norms for mid-September show averages near 21°C with highs occasionally reaching 25°C, and the absence of frontal systems or stronger winds supports this narrow range. Updated model runs and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables that could nudge the daily high within the 23–26°C band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,705Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS and official guidance place the September 13 maximum temperature in the Incheon area at 24–25°C under overcast skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure around 30 inches of mercury. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25°C at 55% implied probability and 24°C at 32%. Historical norms for mid-September show averages near 21°C with highs occasionally reaching 25°C, and the absence of frontal systems or stronger winds supports this narrow range. Updated model runs and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables that could nudge the daily high within the 23–26°C band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,705Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as GFS and official guidance place the September 13 maximum temperature in the Incheon area at 24–25°C under overcast skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure around 30 inches of mercury. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25°C at 55% implied probability and 24°C at 32%. Historical norms for mid-September show averages near 21°C with highs occasionally reaching 25°C, and the absence of frontal systems or stronger winds supports this narrow range. Updated model runs and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed remain the key variables that could nudge the daily high within the 23–26°C band before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання