**Forecast models from sources like GFS project overnight lows near 19°C in Incheon on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity near 85-90% during early morning hours.** This setup limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the 18-20°C range rather than allowing drops below 17°C or rises above 21°C. Recent observations on September 12 show similar stable conditions with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky episodes that would shift the distribution. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 19°C, aligns with this model consensus and historical mid-September baselines for the region, where lows typically hover around 18-22°C absent major synoptic changes. Resolution will hinge on official station readings at the lowest hourly value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
19°C 36%
18°C 21%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
16°C or below
7%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
36%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 36%
18°C 21%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
16°C or below
7%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
36%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS project overnight lows near 19°C in Incheon on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high humidity near 85-90% during early morning hours.** This setup limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the 18-20°C range rather than allowing drops below 17°C or rises above 21°C. Recent observations on September 12 show similar stable conditions with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky episodes that would shift the distribution. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 19°C, aligns with this model consensus and historical mid-September baselines for the region, where lows typically hover around 18-22°C absent major synoptic changes. Resolution will hinge on official station readings at the lowest hourly value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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