Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Guangzhou on September 12 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and moderate humidity around 55–65%. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.3°C for the date. Trader sentiment favoring 34°C at 34.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing that could allow brief radiative heating, alongside typical model spread in subtropical late-summer conditions. Key variables include evolving cloud cover, steering patterns that might reduce wind or enhance insolation, and any late adjustments from official China Meteorological Administration updates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
34°C 40%
33°C 33%
35°C 13%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
11%
33°C
33%
34°C
40%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 40%
33°C 33%
35°C 13%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
$140 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$525 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$80 Обс.
2%
31°C
$2 Обс.
8%
32°C
$130 Обс.
11%
33°C
$5 Обс.
33%
34°C
$121 Обс.
40%
35°C
$0 Обс.
13%
36°C
$0 Обс.
3%
37°C or higher
$44 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Guangzhou on September 12 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and moderate humidity around 55–65%. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.3°C for the date. Trader sentiment favoring 34°C at 34.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing that could allow brief radiative heating, alongside typical model spread in subtropical late-summer conditions. Key variables include evolving cloud cover, steering patterns that might reduce wind or enhance insolation, and any late adjustments from official China Meteorological Administration updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,047Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Guangzhou on September 12 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and moderate humidity around 55–65%. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.3°C for the date. Trader sentiment favoring 34°C at 34.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing that could allow brief radiative heating, alongside typical model spread in subtropical late-summer conditions. Key variables include evolving cloud cover, steering patterns that might reduce wind or enhance insolation, and any late adjustments from official China Meteorological Administration updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,047Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C in Guangzhou on September 12 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and moderate humidity around 55–65%. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.3°C for the date. Trader sentiment favoring 34°C at 34.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing that could allow brief radiative heating, alongside typical model spread in subtropical late-summer conditions. Key variables include evolving cloud cover, steering patterns that might reduce wind or enhance insolation, and any late adjustments from official China Meteorological Administration updates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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