**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 33°C (41.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%), reflecting short-range forecast consensus amid ongoing monsoon conditions.** Multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance, indicate a maximum near 33–34°C (roughly 91–93°F) under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms or showers. These conditions—driven by residual monsoon moisture, high humidity (often 55–80%), and light easterly or variable winds—limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain. Historical September averages for Lucknow hover around 33–34°C, and current extended-range outlooks show near-normal to slightly above-normal maxima without heat-wave signals. Recent developments, such as widespread rains earlier in the week and persistent moisture, have kept actual highs on September 8 around 31–33°C, reinforcing expectations that convective activity will cap temperatures on the 10th. Lower probabilities for 32°C or below reflect reduced rain chances in some guidance, while 35°C+ outcomes remain possible only if skies clear more than anticipated. Key upcoming inputs include updated IMD and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours, which could shift odds if steering patterns or moisture influx change. Overall, market pricing aligns closely with the scientific expectation of moderated monsoon-influenced warmth.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
33°C 42%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
35°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
42%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
35°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
42%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 33°C (41.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%), reflecting short-range forecast consensus amid ongoing monsoon conditions.** Multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance, indicate a maximum near 33–34°C (roughly 91–93°F) under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms or showers. These conditions—driven by residual monsoon moisture, high humidity (often 55–80%), and light easterly or variable winds—limit daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain. Historical September averages for Lucknow hover around 33–34°C, and current extended-range outlooks show near-normal to slightly above-normal maxima without heat-wave signals. Recent developments, such as widespread rains earlier in the week and persistent moisture, have kept actual highs on September 8 around 31–33°C, reinforcing expectations that convective activity will cap temperatures on the 10th. Lower probabilities for 32°C or below reflect reduced rain chances in some guidance, while 35°C+ outcomes remain possible only if skies clear more than anticipated. Key upcoming inputs include updated IMD and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours, which could shift odds if steering patterns or moisture influx change. Overall, market pricing aligns closely with the scientific expectation of moderated monsoon-influenced warmth.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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