Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate mainly clear skies and light northwest winds overnight on September 10, supporting overnight lows near 13–16°C across Toronto stations. This aligns with the market-implied 84.5% consensus on a 16°C minimum, reflecting the current GFS and regional model runs that favor mild conditions above seasonal averages. Historical September 10 lows average 14.8°C, with clear, breezy patterns typically limiting radiative cooling. Key variables include any late-model revisions to wind speeds or cloud cover before midnight, plus confirmation from official minimum readings at Pearson Airport or downtown stations. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 10?
9°C or below 97%
16°C 95%
15°C 19%
14°C 13%
$656 Обс.
$656 Обс.
9°C or below
97%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
13%
15°C
19%
16°C
95%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 97%
16°C 95%
15°C 19%
14°C 13%
$656 Обс.
$656 Обс.
9°C or below
97%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
13%
15°C
19%
16°C
95%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate mainly clear skies and light northwest winds overnight on September 10, supporting overnight lows near 13–16°C across Toronto stations. This aligns with the market-implied 84.5% consensus on a 16°C minimum, reflecting the current GFS and regional model runs that favor mild conditions above seasonal averages. Historical September 10 lows average 14.8°C, with clear, breezy patterns typically limiting radiative cooling. Key variables include any late-model revisions to wind speeds or cloud cover before midnight, plus confirmation from official minimum readings at Pearson Airport or downtown stations. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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