Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate an afternoon peak near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 12 amid the rainy season. High elevation around 2,240 meters, combined with persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and a 35–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing by midday, limits surface heating and caps the daily maximum. Official observations early on September 12 showed temperatures near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies, with model consensus pointing to a narrow window for any brief clearing that could allow a 25°C reading before precipitation suppresses further rise. These conditions explain the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C+ outcomes while underscoring remaining uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 12?
25°C 54%
26°C or higher 36%
24°C 9%
23°C 1.4%
НОВЕ
$10,590 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,590 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
54%
26°C or higher
36%
25°C 54%
26°C or higher 36%
24°C 9%
23°C 1.4%
НОВЕ
$10,590 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,590 Обс.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
$127 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$127 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$127 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$112 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$129 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$336 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$220 Обс.
1%
23°C
$794 Обс.
1%
24°C
$1,958 Обс.
9%
25°C
$2,439 Обс.
54%
26°C or higher
$4,222 Обс.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate an afternoon peak near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 12 amid the rainy season. High elevation around 2,240 meters, combined with persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and a 35–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing by midday, limits surface heating and caps the daily maximum. Official observations early on September 12 showed temperatures near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies, with model consensus pointing to a narrow window for any brief clearing that could allow a 25°C reading before precipitation suppresses further rise. These conditions explain the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C+ outcomes while underscoring remaining uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,590Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate an afternoon peak near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 12 amid the rainy season. High elevation around 2,240 meters, combined with persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and a 35–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing by midday, limits surface heating and caps the daily maximum. Official observations early on September 12 showed temperatures near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies, with model consensus pointing to a narrow window for any brief clearing that could allow a 25°C reading before precipitation suppresses further rise. These conditions explain the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C+ outcomes while underscoring remaining uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,590Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate an afternoon peak near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 12 amid the rainy season. High elevation around 2,240 meters, combined with persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and a 35–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing by midday, limits surface heating and caps the daily maximum. Official observations early on September 12 showed temperatures near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies, with model consensus pointing to a narrow window for any brief clearing that could allow a 25°C reading before precipitation suppresses further rise. These conditions explain the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C+ outcomes while underscoring remaining uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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