Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a modest daytime high in Istanbul on September 14 driven by persistent northwesterly flow, increased low-level cloud cover, and a post-summer cooling trend. These conditions are expected to cap afternoon temperatures near or below 23°C, aligning with the market's strong implied probability for 22°C. Short-range updates showing slightly cooler boundary-layer air and limited insolation have reinforced trader positioning around this outcome, while residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized heating supports smaller probabilities for 23°C or 21°C. Official monitoring will confirm the daily maximum against standard thermometer readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
22°C 67%
23°C 19%
21°C 15%
24°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
15%
22°C
67%
23°C
19%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 67%
23°C 19%
21°C 15%
24°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
$203 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$353 Обс.
1%
20°C
$290 Обс.
2%
21°C
$322 Обс.
15%
22°C
$799 Обс.
67%
23°C
$577 Обс.
19%
24°C
$225 Обс.
2%
25°C
$409 Обс.
1%
26°C
$117 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$138 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$203 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a modest daytime high in Istanbul on September 14 driven by persistent northwesterly flow, increased low-level cloud cover, and a post-summer cooling trend. These conditions are expected to cap afternoon temperatures near or below 23°C, aligning with the market's strong implied probability for 22°C. Short-range updates showing slightly cooler boundary-layer air and limited insolation have reinforced trader positioning around this outcome, while residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized heating supports smaller probabilities for 23°C or 21°C. Official monitoring will confirm the daily maximum against standard thermometer readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,636Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a modest daytime high in Istanbul on September 14 driven by persistent northwesterly flow, increased low-level cloud cover, and a post-summer cooling trend. These conditions are expected to cap afternoon temperatures near or below 23°C, aligning with the market's strong implied probability for 22°C. Short-range updates showing slightly cooler boundary-layer air and limited insolation have reinforced trader positioning around this outcome, while residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized heating supports smaller probabilities for 23°C or 21°C. Official monitoring will confirm the daily maximum against standard thermometer readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,636Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a modest daytime high in Istanbul on September 14 driven by persistent northwesterly flow, increased low-level cloud cover, and a post-summer cooling trend. These conditions are expected to cap afternoon temperatures near or below 23°C, aligning with the market's strong implied probability for 22°C. Short-range updates showing slightly cooler boundary-layer air and limited insolation have reinforced trader positioning around this outcome, while residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized heating supports smaller probabilities for 23°C or 21°C. Official monitoring will confirm the daily maximum against standard thermometer readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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