Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to a minimum temperature near 13–15°C in Toronto on September 14, driven by northwest winds behind a departing system, clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiational cooling, and dry air reducing the chance of moderating cloud cover. This setup follows milder conditions earlier in the weekend, with historical September averages around 14°C providing context for the expected range. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-7°C and 16°C-plus outcomes due to typical short-range model variability in boundary-layer temperatures and wind timing, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by official stations. Updated Environment Canada and NWS guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
38%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
38%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
98%
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
7°C
$0 Обс.
38%
8°C
$0 Обс.
39%
9°C
$0 Обс.
39%
10°C
$0 Обс.
38%
11°C
$0 Обс.
40%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
39%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to a minimum temperature near 13–15°C in Toronto on September 14, driven by northwest winds behind a departing system, clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiational cooling, and dry air reducing the chance of moderating cloud cover. This setup follows milder conditions earlier in the weekend, with historical September averages around 14°C providing context for the expected range. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-7°C and 16°C-plus outcomes due to typical short-range model variability in boundary-layer temperatures and wind timing, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by official stations. Updated Environment Canada and NWS guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to a minimum temperature near 13–15°C in Toronto on September 14, driven by northwest winds behind a departing system, clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiational cooling, and dry air reducing the chance of moderating cloud cover. This setup follows milder conditions earlier in the weekend, with historical September averages around 14°C providing context for the expected range. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-7°C and 16°C-plus outcomes due to typical short-range model variability in boundary-layer temperatures and wind timing, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by official stations. Updated Environment Canada and NWS guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to a minimum temperature near 13–15°C in Toronto on September 14, driven by northwest winds behind a departing system, clear to partly cloudy skies promoting overnight radiational cooling, and dry air reducing the chance of moderating cloud cover. This setup follows milder conditions earlier in the weekend, with historical September averages around 14°C providing context for the expected range. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-7°C and 16°C-plus outcomes due to typical short-range model variability in boundary-layer temperatures and wind timing, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by official stations. Updated Environment Canada and NWS guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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