**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a high near 73°F (23°C) under sunny skies with moderate onshore flow for San Francisco on September 14.** This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F bin (44.5% implied probability) and supports the next tier at 76-77°F (25%), as typical September marine-layer influence and westerly winds cap daytime heating near the historical average of 70.8°F. Clear conditions overnight into Monday allow full solar input, but persistent sea breezes and a stable pressure gradient prevent significant warming beyond the mid-70s. Recent model consensus has remained steady with no heat advection or offshore flow developing, keeping lower bins (72-73°F at 16.5%) as viable but secondary outcomes. Traders are weighting the tight cluster around 74-76°F because resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, which NWS and local observations consistently place in this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 14?
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 23%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 23%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
$94 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
2%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
3%
70-71°F
$60 Обс.
8%
72-73°F
$91 Обс.
23%
74-75°F
$563 Обс.
43%
76-77°F
$368 Обс.
22%
78-79°F
$317 Обс.
5%
80-81°F
$34 Обс.
2%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
2%
84°F or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a high near 73°F (23°C) under sunny skies with moderate onshore flow for San Francisco on September 14.** This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F bin (44.5% implied probability) and supports the next tier at 76-77°F (25%), as typical September marine-layer influence and westerly winds cap daytime heating near the historical average of 70.8°F. Clear conditions overnight into Monday allow full solar input, but persistent sea breezes and a stable pressure gradient prevent significant warming beyond the mid-70s. Recent model consensus has remained steady with no heat advection or offshore flow developing, keeping lower bins (72-73°F at 16.5%) as viable but secondary outcomes. Traders are weighting the tight cluster around 74-76°F because resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, which NWS and local observations consistently place in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,527Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a high near 73°F (23°C) under sunny skies with moderate onshore flow for San Francisco on September 14.** This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F bin (44.5% implied probability) and supports the next tier at 76-77°F (25%), as typical September marine-layer influence and westerly winds cap daytime heating near the historical average of 70.8°F. Clear conditions overnight into Monday allow full solar input, but persistent sea breezes and a stable pressure gradient prevent significant warming beyond the mid-70s. Recent model consensus has remained steady with no heat advection or offshore flow developing, keeping lower bins (72-73°F at 16.5%) as viable but secondary outcomes. Traders are weighting the tight cluster around 74-76°F because resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, which NWS and local observations consistently place in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,527Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a high near 73°F (23°C) under sunny skies with moderate onshore flow for San Francisco on September 14.** This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F bin (44.5% implied probability) and supports the next tier at 76-77°F (25%), as typical September marine-layer influence and westerly winds cap daytime heating near the historical average of 70.8°F. Clear conditions overnight into Monday allow full solar input, but persistent sea breezes and a stable pressure gradient prevent significant warming beyond the mid-70s. Recent model consensus has remained steady with no heat advection or offshore flow developing, keeping lower bins (72-73°F at 16.5%) as viable but secondary outcomes. Traders are weighting the tight cluster around 74-76°F because resolution hinges on the official daily maximum, which NWS and local observations consistently place in this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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