Traders see a tight contest between 31°C and 32°C as the day's peak because multiple forecast models converge on maximum temperatures near 30–32°C under northeast monsoon flow, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting intense surface heating. High humidity and cloud cover from the lingering monsoon, plus a distant tropical cyclone's residual effects, reduce solar insolation and favor the lower end of that range. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists 26–30°C, yet recent midday readings near 30°C and model spreads keep 32°C viable if afternoon clearing occurs. Real-time station data and final hourly observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
31°C 66%
32°C 26.0%
33°C 1.6%
34°C <1%
$67,563 Обс.
$67,563 Обс.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
66%
32°C
26%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
32°C 26.0%
33°C 1.6%
34°C <1%
$67,563 Обс.
$67,563 Обс.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
66%
32°C
26%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight contest between 31°C and 32°C as the day's peak because multiple forecast models converge on maximum temperatures near 30–32°C under northeast monsoon flow, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting intense surface heating. High humidity and cloud cover from the lingering monsoon, plus a distant tropical cyclone's residual effects, reduce solar insolation and favor the lower end of that range. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists 26–30°C, yet recent midday readings near 30°C and model spreads keep 32°C viable if afternoon clearing occurs. Real-time station data and final hourly observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання