Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for September 12, driven by a persistent northeast monsoon bringing east to northeasterly winds of force 4–6, mainly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. High humidity levels near 60–95% and the potential for afternoon thunderstorms further cap peak readings, consistent with September climatology where daily highs average near 31°C. Trader consensus favoring 31°C and 30°C reflects this narrow range, with slight upward bias from drier model runs showing brief sunny intervals, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for residual uncertainty in shower timing and intensity ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$364 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$429 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,159 Обс.
7%
29°C
$1,605 Обс.
17%
30°C
$1,096 Обс.
25%
31°C
$2,266 Обс.
36%
32°C
$1,018 Обс.
16%
33°C
$895 Обс.
3%
34°C
$492 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$209 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for September 12, driven by a persistent northeast monsoon bringing east to northeasterly winds of force 4–6, mainly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. High humidity levels near 60–95% and the potential for afternoon thunderstorms further cap peak readings, consistent with September climatology where daily highs average near 31°C. Trader consensus favoring 31°C and 30°C reflects this narrow range, with slight upward bias from drier model runs showing brief sunny intervals, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for residual uncertainty in shower timing and intensity ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,649Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for September 12, driven by a persistent northeast monsoon bringing east to northeasterly winds of force 4–6, mainly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. High humidity levels near 60–95% and the potential for afternoon thunderstorms further cap peak readings, consistent with September climatology where daily highs average near 31°C. Trader consensus favoring 31°C and 30°C reflects this narrow range, with slight upward bias from drier model runs showing brief sunny intervals, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for residual uncertainty in shower timing and intensity ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$9,649Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C for September 12, driven by a persistent northeast monsoon bringing east to northeasterly winds of force 4–6, mainly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. High humidity levels near 60–95% and the potential for afternoon thunderstorms further cap peak readings, consistent with September climatology where daily highs average near 31°C. Trader consensus favoring 31°C and 30°C reflects this narrow range, with slight upward bias from drier model runs showing brief sunny intervals, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for residual uncertainty in shower timing and intensity ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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