**The market-implied odds reflect the latest MetService forecast and real-time observations showing a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on September 11 under fine conditions with light southerly winds developing later.** Official guidance indicates partly cloudy skies, minimal precipitation risk, and temperatures peaking near midday before easing, aligning with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 12–15°C. Multiple numerical weather models converged on this value with low uncertainty in the 24-hour window, reinforced by surface observations and upper-air data showing stable atmospheric conditions. A sudden northerly surge or unexpected clearing could push readings above 14°C, while a stronger southerly change or increased cloud cover might cap the high below it; final verification will depend on the official daily maximum reported by the monitoring station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$45,528 Обс.
$45,528 Обс.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$45,528 Обс.
$45,528 Обс.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**The market-implied odds reflect the latest MetService forecast and real-time observations showing a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on September 11 under fine conditions with light southerly winds developing later.** Official guidance indicates partly cloudy skies, minimal precipitation risk, and temperatures peaking near midday before easing, aligning with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 12–15°C. Multiple numerical weather models converged on this value with low uncertainty in the 24-hour window, reinforced by surface observations and upper-air data showing stable atmospheric conditions. A sudden northerly surge or unexpected clearing could push readings above 14°C, while a stronger southerly change or increased cloud cover might cap the high below it; final verification will depend on the official daily maximum reported by the monitoring station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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