Recent short-term forecast guidance from models such as GFS positions the maximum temperature in Milan on September 11 near 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies following overnight frontal passage and showers on the 10th. Light westerly flow, surface pressures near 1017 hPa, and reduced cloud cover after the cool-air advection support daytime warming to these levels, consistent with climatological September highs around 22 °C. Market-implied odds favor 25 °C as the mode because ensemble spreads cluster there, with 26 °C reflecting upside model runs that capture slightly stronger insolation or delayed clearing. Resolution hinges on the official Milan observation at the primary reporting station, where small differences in timing of any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 11?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 11?
25°C 45%
26°C 30%
24°C 16%
27°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
45%
26°C
30%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 45%
26°C 30%
24°C 16%
27°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
$872 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,540 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$457 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$225 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$199 Обс.
2%
23°C
$190 Обс.
4%
24°C
$814 Обс.
16%
25°C
$1,096 Обс.
45%
26°C
$816 Обс.
30%
27°C
$256 Обс.
5%
28°C or higher
$247 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast guidance from models such as GFS positions the maximum temperature in Milan on September 11 near 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies following overnight frontal passage and showers on the 10th. Light westerly flow, surface pressures near 1017 hPa, and reduced cloud cover after the cool-air advection support daytime warming to these levels, consistent with climatological September highs around 22 °C. Market-implied odds favor 25 °C as the mode because ensemble spreads cluster there, with 26 °C reflecting upside model runs that capture slightly stronger insolation or delayed clearing. Resolution hinges on the official Milan observation at the primary reporting station, where small differences in timing of any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,712Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast guidance from models such as GFS positions the maximum temperature in Milan on September 11 near 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies following overnight frontal passage and showers on the 10th. Light westerly flow, surface pressures near 1017 hPa, and reduced cloud cover after the cool-air advection support daytime warming to these levels, consistent with climatological September highs around 22 °C. Market-implied odds favor 25 °C as the mode because ensemble spreads cluster there, with 26 °C reflecting upside model runs that capture slightly stronger insolation or delayed clearing. Resolution hinges on the official Milan observation at the primary reporting station, where small differences in timing of any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,712Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast guidance from models such as GFS positions the maximum temperature in Milan on September 11 near 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies following overnight frontal passage and showers on the 10th. Light westerly flow, surface pressures near 1017 hPa, and reduced cloud cover after the cool-air advection support daytime warming to these levels, consistent with climatological September highs around 22 °C. Market-implied odds favor 25 °C as the mode because ensemble spreads cluster there, with 26 °C reflecting upside model runs that capture slightly stronger insolation or delayed clearing. Resolution hinges on the official Milan observation at the primary reporting station, where small differences in timing of any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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